Emmanuel Macron, December 12, 2017 in Boulogne-Billancourt
Polls in December confirm a resurgence of popularity Emmanuel Macron, which seems to have managed to stem its almost continuous decline recorded since taking office.
With 57% of positive opinions in Ifop’s latest Tuesday, the head of state gains 5 points in one month and slips into the top three of personalities whose French have a good opinion, behind Alain Juppe and Nicolas Hulot. In his wake, Edouard Philippe also raises the bar with 56% (+2) favorable opinions.
After a difficult comeback that had seen the head of state drop a dozen points in the polls, most institutes give it up in recent weeks.
BVA saw a significant rise (+4) with 46% of good opinions in its latest barometer released in late November and YouGov a rise of 3 points with 35% favorable opinion in early December.
The clearest gain is recorded by Ifop in its „dashboard“ of December 6, with 6 points more for Emmanuel Macron, which crosses the bar of 50% of good opinions.
The institute notes that ever since a president of the Republic fell into unpopularity was until then again popular in this barometer, except periods of cohabitation.
– Embellishment transient or durable? –
An improvement explained by BVA, the ability of the head of state to „keep its commitments“. „This is the prerequisite to reform the country and this is what the French expect,“ says the director of the institute, Adelaide Zulfikarpasic. „The fact that he stood firm at the beginning of September, especially on the reform of the labor code, reassured the French that he does what he says,“ she said.
If only one institute, Harris Interactive, gave Emmanuel Macron a slight decline in early December (46%, -2), the French expect results.
Only 23% of them say they are „satisfied“ with his action since taking office, according to an Ipsos survey on December 6th, but nearly one in two (46%) is „neither satisfied nor dissatisfied“ which reflects the wait-and-see attitude still very much shared with the Head of State.
For Frédéric Dabi, Ifop Deputy Director General, Emmanuel Macron „continues to rely on two very strong levers: the distinction – the French see it better and better embodying the function than its predecessors – and the transformation, the feeling that even if we do not see any results, he has a reformative impulse to transform the country and gives him time „.
The head of state also benefits from the difficulties of former government parties and progresses both among relatives of Republicans and socialist sympathizers.
Edouard Philippe is progressing for his part or keeping up with all the recent surveys. „He is partly in the wheel of the president, but he is gradually printing his style,“ notes the director of BVA.
Transient embellishment for the executive couple or lasting phenomenon? What was „sustainable“ in the past was unpopularity, analysts say.
„Will this renewal continue? It gives him time, but at some point it will have to have results,“ said Frederic Dabi, who does not see today „likely traps“ for the head of the State, „as we had seen with the tax shock for Francois Hollande or the broken promises of Nicolas Sarkozy“.
Analysts do not exclude further „a small effect Johnny“, with most personalities on the rise in the latest survey of IFOP, reflecting a decline in tension.